Thursday, October 28, 2010

Chart focus video - 28th Oct 10

Well I did manage to get a video together. I didn't notice Kevi's post before I did the video and it looks like we've covered some of the same charts. I've focussed primarily on Rare Earths swing plays, as the sector was so strong today after a few days of weakness.



Off to Sydney in the morning so I doubt there'll be any trading for me. If you're in Sydney I'm presenting at the Trader's Expo at 1.30 tomorrow and Saturday, thanks to FP Markets.

Good luck tomorrow.

Alan

Kevi's evening charts 28th Oct

Evening all,

As Al's is busy preparing for the traders expo this weekend, I thought I would get a few charts up tonight to attempt to fill the gap.

REE stocks bounced sharply today, and i'm sure a few of you were lucky enough to get on them early. Chart wise most need a confirmation day tomorrow, but they look rather good.

Arafura Resources (ARU)

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Peak Resources (PEK)

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Alkane Resources (ALK)

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Good night all

Cheers
Kevi

Kevi's morning charts 28th Oct

Morning all,

Sorry for not posting any charts yesterday, was caught up early on with a few other things.

A few days back I posted the DJIA chart showing the choppy sideways period that its currently experiencing. I thought I would do another chart which may be of interest that shows a potential double top on the weekly. It was pointed out to me by a friend yesterday, and its one of those indicators that should not be discounted. In a week or two we might find it had no bearing, though there is certainly some heavy resistance at the 11200 level.

Here is the chart, it would be nice to see the week end on a closing high above the 11250, but there would need to be a good session or two.

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Here are some other charts. One from yesterday was Boss Energy (BOE)

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and finally

Bluescope Steel (BSL)

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Good luck today all

Cheers
Kevi

Chart overlay software

A couple of readers have commented on the chart overlay feature I have been applying onto my Spark Software to draw Fibonacci Lines, etc.(Spark charts have limited drawing tools).

I do this via a little piece of software called, surprisingly enough, ChartOverlay. It costs about $80 USD, and there's a free 14 day trial. It could do with a few more drawing features but is pretty handy for the price.

Sorry, but no video tonight...I've been busy testing a few new intraday trading techniques I'm working on, based on scalping between Fibs. I'll pass on more details if/when I decide it could be a viable addition to the trading tool bag.

U.S, Gold, Oil, AUD and Metals all looking pretty shaky so far tonight, so if this continues it looks like we could be in for more pain tomorrow,but we'll see.

One of the benefits of trading CFD's is the fact that you can trade to the short side just as simply as going long. In my opinion, not adding short trading to your daily trade skills is the equivalent of getting into a boxing ring with one hand tied behind your back.

Alan

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Chart focus video - 26th Oct 10



Best viewed in HD and full screen.

Alan

20 ways to stop losing money

Like most businesses, stats suggest 80% or more of traders will do their cash. Here's another article from Hard Right Edge with a few handy tips on how to avoid joining them. For the most part I agree with them, but not No 20...I think trading is a heap of fun!

20 Ways To Stop Losing Money:

To state the obvious, the best way to start making money is to stop losing it.

In that regard, here are 20 ways to staunch the bleeding and get back into the winner's circle.

1. Don't trust the opinions of market gurus. Remember that it's your money at stake, not theirs. Listen to what they say, then step back and do your own homework.

2. Don't believe in a company. Trading isn't investing, so you need to focus on the price action and forget the balance sheets. Leave the American Dream to Warren Buffett.

3. Don't break your entry and exit rules. You made them for bad trades, just like the one you're stuck in right now.

4. Don't try to get even. This isn't a game of catch-up. Every action you make has to stand on its own merits. Take your losses with detachment and make your next trade with absolute discipline.

5. Don't trade over your head. If your last name isn't Kass or Cramer, stop trading like them. Just concentrate on playing the game well, and stop thinking about making money.

6. Don't seek the Holy Grail. There is no secret trading formula, other than good position choice and solid risk management. So why are you looking for it?

7. Don't forget your discipline. Anyone can learn the basics of the trading game. Sadly, most of us will fail because of a lack of self-control, not a lack of knowledge.

8. Don't chase the crowd. Tune out the groupthink and dance to the beat of your own drummer. Get out of the chat rooms and off the stock boards. This is serious business.

9. Don't trade the obvious. Everyone sees the most perfect-looking patterns, which is why they set up the most painful losses. Simply stated, if it looks too good to be true, it probably is.

10. Don't ignore the warning signs. Big losses rarely come without warning. Don't wait for a lifeboat before you abandon a sinking ship.

11. Don't count your chickens. That delicious profit isn't yours until you close out the trade. Trail stops, take blind exits and do everything possible to get that money into your pocket.

12. Don't forget the plan. Remember the reasons you took a trade in the first place, and don't get blinded by greed or fear when the position finally starts to move.

13. Don't have a paycheck mentality. You don't need to get paid every week or every month, as long as you take advantage of the opportunities as they come. Classic wisdom: traders book 80% of their profits on just 20% of the days the market is open for business.

14. Don't cut corners. There are very smart folks out there working full time to take advantage of your mistakes. Fight back by examining your results, updating your plan and finding working themes for the next session.

15. Don't ignore your intuition. Listen to that calm little voice that tells you what to do and what to avoid. That's the voice of the winner trying to get into your thick head.

16. Don't hate losing. The best traders lose money on most of their positions, so get used to the pain of losing. And there's a side benefit: the losing teaches more about winning than the winning itself.

17. Don't fall into the complexity trap. Traders who can't see the market are looking for it everywhere except in the price action. In truth, a well-trained eye will find more profits than in a stack of technical indicators.

18. Don't confuse execution with opportunity. Expensive software won't help you trade like a hedge fund. Pretty colors and flashing lights make you a more nervous trader, not a better one.

19. Don't project your personal life onto your trading. Trading gives you the perfect opportunity to find out just how messed up your life really is. Get your own house in order before you play the financial markets.

20. Don't think that trading is fun. The trading game should be boring the vast majority of the time, just like the real-life job you have right now.

Kevi's morning charts 26th Oct

Morning All,

Some great charts in that video Al, and several which were completely missed by my scans. Goes to show that different software can bring very different results...

First I would like to post the DJIA chart which includes last nights candle. I'm still relatively bullish short term, though the candle pattern is starting to look potentially exhausted. I think by the end of this week I will have a look at the weekly chart and see what that has to say.

Anyway here is the chart. I have highlighted other congestion type areas so you can compare and know what i'm talking about. Who knows, we might see a decent night tonight in the US and finally have a confirmed breakout.

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Here are a few more charts of interest.

Uranium Exploration (UXA) - both daily and weekly. As you can see the volume as Al pointed out in his video is significant.

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Probiotic Limited (PBP) - showing a rounding bottom here, with indicators looking positive. Volume on the rise, so it might be a short term base and potential entry point.

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Iron Ore Holdings (IOH) - I posted this chart a week or so ago when I spotted a potential breakout. Closed yesterday @ $1.79 which is certainly encouraging.

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Downer Edi (DOW) - One which Al talked about in his video. As mentioned, not alot fo volume in the break yet, but worth watching as the next resistance level is $1.00 away...so plenty of upside.

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thats all for now.

Cheers and good luck today

Kevi

Monday, October 25, 2010

Chart focus video - 25 Oct 2010

Heaps of nice looking charts after today's action. But can we go on with it tomorrow. US Futures, Gold, Metals and AUD all strong as I type, so let's hope it's a similar story when I check in in the morning.



Best viewed in HD and full screen.

Alan

Kevi's morning charts 25th Oct

Morning all,

Not a huge number of charts I can post today unfortunately.

Here are a few that were of interest.

Deep Yellow (DYL) - one of my favourite charts of the week, looks very nice on the daily and also the weekly.

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Aspire Mining (AKM)

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Macquarie Airports (MAP)

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Rox Resources (RXL)

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Prima Biomed (PRR)

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Note that the targets on here are not a given, purely speculation based on the technical indicators.

Hope you have a good week all

Cheers
Kevi